NWS

The Tilden Point Forecast Matrix

28.45N  98.54W ELEV. 273 FT
318 AM CDT THU OCT 3 2013

DATE             THU 10/03/13            FRI 10/04/13            SAT 10/05/13
CDT 3HRLY     04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19
UTC 3HRLY     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

MAX/MIN                      93          71          92          71          90
TEMP          72 72 80 89 93 88 79 76 71 71 80 89 92 88 80 76 72 71 79 87 90 88
DEWPT         71 71 72 68 66 67 70 70 70 70 71 67 64 65 70 71 71 71 71 68 65 65
RH            97 97 77 50 41 50 74 82 97 97 74 48 40 47 72 85 97100 77 53 44 47
WIND DIR      SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  E  E  E
WIND SPD       8  8  9 11 14 14 12 10  9  5  9 11 11 11 12  9  6  5  6  5 10 11
CLOUDS        SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC B1
POP 12HR                      5           5           5           5           5
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0           0           0
RAIN SHWRS                                                                    C
TSTMS                                                                         S
HEAT INDEX          84 93 96 91                92 94 90                91 93 90
MAX HEAT               93    96    87          92    94    87          91    93


DATE          SUN 10/06/13  MON 10/07/13  TUE 10/08/13  WED 10/09/13
CDT 6HRLY     01 07 13 19   01 07 13 19   01 07 13 19   01 07 13 19
UTC 6HRLY     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

MIN/MAX          61    78      55    84      54    88      63    88
TEMP          74 61 77 70   59 55 78 77   61 54 82 83   69 63 84 84
DEWPT         55 47 44 42   41 40 40 40   45 50 58 60   62 61 64 64
PWIND DIR        NE     N       N    NE      SE    SE      SE    SE
WIND CHAR        GN    GN      LT    LT      LT    LT      GN    GN
AVG CLOUDS    B2 B2 B1 B1   SC FW FW CL   CL CL CL FW   FW SC SC SC
POP 12HR         40    20       0     0       0     0       5     5
RAIN SHWRS     C  C  S
TSTMS          S  S


THE TABLE OF CODES BELOW DESCRIBE THE PFM PRODUCT:
THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS APPEAR DAILY... MAX/MIN = DAYTIME HIGH AND NIGHTTIME LOW TEMPERATURE TEMP = TEMPERATURE AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS DEWPT = DEWPOINT AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS RH = RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS WIND DIR = WIND DIRECTION AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS WIND SPD = WIND SPEED IN MPH AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS CLOUDS = CLOUD COVER AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS CL = CLEAR SKIES (0-5% CLOUD COVER) FW = MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES (6-25% CLOUD COVER) SC = PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES (26-50% CLOUD COVER) B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES (51-69% CLOUD COVER) B2 = MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES (70-87% CLOUD COVER) OV = CLOUDY SKIES (88-100% CLOUD COVER) POP 12HR = PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR DAY AND NIGHT QPF 12HR = PRECIPITATION AMOUNT IN INCHES FOR DAY AND NIGHT THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS APPEAR AS NEEDED... WIND GUST = WIND GUST IN MPH AT 3 HOURLY INTERVALS MAX QPF = MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION OCCURRING AT ANY ONE LOCATION SNOW 12HR = SNOWFALL AMOUNT IN INCHES FOR DAY AND NIGHT WIND CHILL = HOW IT FEELS BASED ON TEMPERATURE AND WIND EACH 3 HOURS MIN CHILL = LOWEST WIND CHILL OVER LAST 6 HOUR PERIOD HEAT INDEX = HOW IT FEELS BASED ON TEMPERATURE AND RH EACH 3 HOURS MAX HEAT = HIGHEST HEAT INDEX OVER LAST 6 HOUR PERIOD RAIN = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS RAIN RAIN SHWRS = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS RAIN SHOWERS SPRINKLES = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS SPRINKLES TSTMS = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS THUNDERSTORMS DRIZZLE = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS DRIZZLE SNOW = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS SNOW SNOWSHWRS = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS FLURRIES SLEET = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS ICE PELLETS FRZG RAIN = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS FREEZING RAIN FRZG DRZL = PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR EACH 3 HOUR PERIOD IS FREEZING DRIZZLE EACH PRECIPITATION PARAMETER IS CLASSIFIED AS FOLLOWS... IS = ISOLATED (10-20% COVERAGE) S = SLIGHT (10-20% PROBABILITY) SC = SCATTERED (30-50% COVERAGE) C = CHANCE (30-50% PROBABILITY) NM = NUMEROUS (60-70% COVERAGE) L = LIKELY (60-70% PROBABILITY) O = OCCASIONAL (80-100% PROBABILITY) D = DEFINITE (80-100% PROBABILITY) EC = EXTENSIVE COVERAGE (80-100% PROBABILITY) PA = PATCHY (<25% COVERAGE) AR = AREAS (25-50% COVERAGE) WD = WIDESPREAD (>50% COVERAGE) OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY (OBVIS) ARE CLASSIFIED AS FOLLOWS... F = FOG PF = PATCHY FOG F+ = DENSE FOG PF+ = PATCHY DENSE FOG H = HAZE BS = BLOWING SNOW BD = BLOWING DUST AF = VOLCANIC ASH K = SMOKE ADDITIONAL EXTENDED FORECAST PARAMETERS ARE CLASSIFIED AS FOLLOWS... PWIND DIR = PRIMARY WIND DIRECTION FOR EACH 12 HOUR PERIOD WIND CHAR = WIND CHARACTERISTIC FOR EACH 12 HOUR PERIOD LT = LIGHT (< 8 MPH) GN = GENTLE (8-14 MPH) BZ = BREEZY (15-22 MPH) WY = WINDY (23-30 MPH) VW = VERY WINDY (31-39 MPH) SD = STRONG (>40 MPH) AVG CLOUDS = AVERAGE CLOUD COVER FOR EACH 12 HOUR PERIOD MM = MISSING DATA IF A HURRICANE IS EXPECTED THEN THE FOLLOWING APPLIES... 0-24 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...THE ACTUAL WIND SPEEDS WILL BE USED. 25-60 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...THE CODE "HU" WILL BE USED FOR WINDS AND "HG" FOR WIND GUSTS. 61-120 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL...THE CODE "HU" WILL ONLY BE USED.

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