000
AGUS72 KALR 101515
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1053 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR RNK 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE DAN RIVER BASIN: 

...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE DAN RIVER...

HEAVY RAINS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF VA AND FAR NORTHERN NC 
DURING THE LAST 36 HOURS HAVE PRODUCED MINOR FLOODING ON PARTS OF 
THE DAN RIVER BASIN. DANVILLE IS CURRENTLY FALLING AND EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE TO FALL WITH PACES NEAR CREST THIS MORNING. AS FAR AS SOUTH 
BOSTON... MODEL ROUTINGS AND CREST TO CREST RELATIONSHIPS BOTH SUPPORTING 
A CREST LATER THIS EVENING NEAR 23.5 FEET... WHICH IS BELOW THE MODERATE 
FLOOD CATEGORY OF 25.0 FEET. FAIRLY CONFIDENT IN THIS LOWER FORECAST 
AT SOUTH BOSTON GIVEN THE CREST AT DANVILLE AND WITH PACES NEARING 
CREST THIS MORNING LOOKING AT THE CURRENT OBSERVATION TREND.  HOWEVER.
... ADDITIONAL RAINS ON SUNDAY COULD CAUSE THE DAN RIVER TO AGAIN 
BEGIN TO RISE.  WITH FLOWS ALREADY HIGH...ADDITIONAL FLOODING MAY 
OCCUR.

JD

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THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$