000
AGUS72 KALR 251500
HMDALR
ALR

HYDROLOGIST FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER / ATLANTA, GA
1031 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005 

ATTENTION/ AREA AFFECTED WFO: ALR TBW MFL MLB 

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR FLORIDA AREA 

... CENTRAL FLORIDA BSINS.....

RAINFALL DUE TO HURRICANE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
IN THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD.  MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED 
IN THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA AND HORSE CREEK AT ARCADIA. SOILS WERE 
DRY AT THE BEGINING OF THIS EVENT WHICH CAUSED WATER LEVEL RESPONSES 
TO BE LOWER THAN INITIALLY EXPECTED. 

....ST.JOHNS RIVER......

MINOR FLOODINGIS EXPECTED IN THE ST. JOHNS RIVER NEAR GENEVA. WATER 
LEVELS UPSTREAM OF THIS LOCATION ARE STILL RISING. SIGNIFICANT WATER 
LEVEL RISES ARE ALSO EXPECTED DOWNSTREAM OF GENEVA AND AS FAR AS DELAND.
.


....LAKE OKEECHOBEE....

THE POOL LEVEL AT LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS EXPECTED TO RISE NEAR 16.2 FT 
IN THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. CURRENTLY THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE INFLOWS 
INTO THE LAKE IS THE KISSIMMEE BASIN, THROUH LAKE ISTOKPOGA. THE WATER 
LEVELS AT PALMDALE HAVE RISEN ABOVE CAUIION STAGE TODAY AND ARE FORECASTED 
TO CONTINUE RISING ABOUT HALF A FOOT MORE.

-------------------------------------------------
THE SERFC IS INTERESTED IN THE USEFULNESS OF THIS
PRODUCT AND WELCOMES YOUR COMMENTS OR FEEDBACK ON 
HOW THIS WAS USED IN YOUR OPERATIONS. PLEASE SEND
ANY COMMENTS TO....JOHN.FELDT@NOAA.GOV


...SERFC...




$$