(Untitled) Slide 15 of 32

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Similar to Scenario 1, this forecast presents a 3-day forecast below the top of the levee. However, the 7-day AHP Services forecast indicates a 40-percent likelihood the levee will be overtopped by the river. Even though the AHP Services forecast reveals a maximum likely-to-occurr event (50 percentile) being below the levee's crest on the 7th day, an emergency manager may choose to take mitigative action for this section of the river.

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