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Slide 14 of 32
This slide presents an example use of the information provided by an AHP Services forecast.
Existing operational forecasting technology is represented by the 3-day stage (water surface elevation) forecast. The AHP Services forecast is represented by the 7-day forecast which presents the maximum likely-to-occur event (in this case, the 50 percent level) as well as the percent likelihood other river elevations will exist or be exceeded 7 days from the time of the forecast.
This slide's example indicates the levee will have a less than 10 percent chance of being overtopped.