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Extended Streamflow Prediction

874
FGUS64 KTUA 041545
ESPTUA
                       National Weather Service

                  Arkansas Red River Forecast Center



 2016 Water Supply Forecast                     Issued as of February 4, 2016



                              Forecast Runoff                        Average

                                                                     Runoff

                                  Most      Reasonable   Reasonable    30YR

                                Probable     Maximum      Minimum   1981-2010

 Forecast            Forecast          %            %            %

   Point              Period    1000  30YR   1000  30YR   1000  30YR    1000

                          (*)    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.     AF

                  *(1)Apr-Sep

                  *(2)Mar-Jun

UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

ARKANSAS RIVER

  Granite, Co           001      200    102     275   140    125   63    197

  Salida, Co            001      300    102     405   137    210   71    295

  Canon City, Co        001      390    102     570   149    220   57    383

  Pueblo Abv, Co        001      480    105     700   154    300   66    455

GRAPE CREEK

  Westcliffe Nr, Co     001     22.0    112    44.0   224    7.6   39   19.6

CUCHARAS RIVER

  Boyd Ranch, La Veta   001     13.0     92    23.0   163    5.7   40   14.1

PURGATOIRE  RIVER

  Trinidad, Co          001     43.0     91    82.0   174   16.6   35     47

HUERFANO RIVER

  Redwing Nr, Co        001     16.5    109    25.0   164   10.0   66   15.2

CHALK CREEK

  Nathrop Nr, Co        001     25.0     96    40.0   154   13.7   53   26.0



LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

**ARKANSAS RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001      160    108     330   223     52   35    148

**PURGATOIRE RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001     23.0     96    47.0   196    5.5   23   24.0



CANADIAN RIVER BASIN, NEW MEXICO

VERMEJO RIVER

  Dawson Nr, NM         002     7.50     96   14.70   188   3.20   41    7.8

EAGLE NEST RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002    11.50    103   21.00   188   2.20   20   11.2

CIMARRON  RIVER

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002    16.10    102   29.00   184   3.40   22   15.8

PONIL CREEK

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002     7.40    103   14.60   203   2.40   33    7.2

RAYADO CREEK

  At Sauble Ranch, NM   002     7.20    103   12.30   176   2.10   30    7.0

*CONCHAS RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002    47.00    157  114.00   380  14.00   47     30



 *Indicates the 30-year normal is based upon the 30-year median rather than the 30-year mean.

**Indicates the historical and forecast information is regulated or observed flow at the gage.



   ****************************************************************

   *                                                              *

   *        This, and additional Water Supply Information,        *

   *              can be found on our Web Page at:                *

   *                                                              *

   *            www.srh.noaa.gov/abrfc/?n=water_supply            *

   *                                                              *

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$$




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