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Extended Streamflow Prediction

249
FGUS64 KTUA 071452
ESPTUA
                       National Weather Service

                  Arkansas Red River Forecast Center



 2016 Water Supply Forecast                     Issued as of March 4, 2016



                              Forecast Runoff                        Average

                                                                     Runoff

                                  Most      Reasonable   Reasonable    30YR

                                Probable     Maximum      Minimum   1981-2010

 Forecast            Forecast          %            %            %

   Point              Period    1000  30YR   1000  30YR   1000  30YR    1000

                          (*)    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.    AF   AVG.     AF

                  *(1)Apr-Sep

                  *(2)Mar-Jun

UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

ARKANSAS RIVER

  Granite, Co           001      178    90     250   127    106   54    197

  Salida, Co            001      265    90     360   122    185   63    295

  Canon City, Co        001      355    93     505   132    205   54    383

  Pueblo Abv, Co        001      430    95     635   140    265   58    455

GRAPE CREEK

  Westcliffe Nr, Co     001     19.3    98    39.0   199    6.3   32   19.6

CUCHARAS RIVER

  Boyd Ranch, La Veta   001     11.3    80    20.0   142    4.9   35   14.1

PURGATOIRE  RIVER

  Trinidad, Co          001     40.0    85    78.0   166   14.7   31     47

HUERFANO RIVER

  Redwing Nr, Co        001     14.0    92    22.0   145    7.8   51   15.2

CHALK CREEK

  Nathrop Nr, Co        001     23.0    88    38.0   146    8.0   31   26.0



LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER BASIN, COLORADO

**ARKANSAS RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001      145   98     275   186     70   47    148

**PURGATOIRE RIVER

  Las Animas, Co        001     21.0   88    48.0   200    7.5   31   24.0



CANADIAN RIVER BASIN, NEW MEXICO

VERMEJO RIVER

  Dawson Nr, NM         002     6.50   83   13.50   173   2.60   33    7.8

EAGLE NEST RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002     9.50   85   17.20   154   4.50   40   11.2

CIMARRON  RIVER

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002    13.50   85   29.00   184   1.00    6   15.8

PONIL CREEK

  Cimarron Nr, NM       002     6.00   83   11.20   156   2.70   38    7.2

RAYADO CREEK

  At Sauble Ranch, NM   002     5.90   84   11.70   167   2.40   34    7.0

*CONCHAS RES

  Rsvr Inflow, NM       002    40.00  133     103   343   10.0   33     30



 *Indicates the 30-year normal is based upon the 30-year median rather than the 30-year mean.

**Indicates the historical and forecast information is regulated or observed flow at the gage.



   ****************************************************************

   *                                                              *

   *        This, and additional Water Supply Information,        *

   *              can be found on our Web Page at:                *

   *                                                              *

   *            www.srh.noaa.gov/abrfc/?n=water_supply            *

   *                                                              *

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$$




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