2014 Verification Data - National Weather Service

NWS Southern Region River Forecast Centers perform categorical forecast verification for all flood forecasts. To view ABRFC categorical verification click here. To view categorical forecast verification for all Southern Region River Forecast Centers click here.

2014 Daily Forecast Verification Data

2014 Verification Statistics - Click to enlarge

The above chart shows the verification numbers from all the river forecasts issued for daily forecast points within the ABRFC from January 2014 through December 2014. For each month in this period, the average RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) in feet of all the daily forecast points is listed; the QPF RMSE, the non-QPF RMSE, and finally a RMSE for Persistence. Persistence assumes no skill in forecasting; ie...the current stage is forecast for all periods. Below are graphs to view verification data for individual daily forecast points for each month.

Monthly Verification Statistics for Individual Daily Forecast Points:
January 2014 - Click to enlarge
January 2014
February 2014 - Click to enlarge
February 2014
March 2014 - Click to enlarge
March 2014
April 2014 - Click to enlarge
April 2014
May 2014 - Click to enlarge
May 2014
June 2014 - Click to enlarge
June 2014
July 2014 - Click to enlarge
July 2014
August 2014 - Click to enlarge
August 2014
September 2014 - Click to enlarge
September 2014
October 2014 - Click to enlarge
October 2014
November 2014 - Click to enlarge
November 2014
December 2014 - Click to enlarge
December 2014

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