EPZ FWZ113: CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ

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Current Nearby ASOS Observations:
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
RUIDOSO        MOCLDY    57   5  12 W37G53    29.96R                  
Links to Nearby RAWS Observations:
Cosmic Raws(9100 ft MSL)
Smokey Bear Raws(6900 ft MSL)
Mayhill Raws(6558 ft MSL)
Mescal Raws(6227 ft MSL)

Fire Weather Zone Forecast issued at 219 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION...
WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BUT ARE FINALLY 
CATCHING UP AS OF 2 PM. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EAST SLOPE
LOCATIONS INTO PART OF THE NIGHT...WHICH WILL REDUCE RH RECOVERY.
BUT WITH SUCH DRY AIR IN PLACE RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR JUST 
ABOUT EVERYWHERE TONIGHT.

A STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW...
BRINGING STRONGER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS BUT SLIGHTLY COOLER 
TEMPERATURES. CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST 
LOWLAND AREAS...BUT THE COOLER TEMPS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER RH 
AND THIS WILL KEEP HIGHER ELEVATIONS OUT OF CRITERIA...INCLUDING
THE GILA AND THE SACRAMENTOS ABOVE 7500 FEET. 

BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT WILL DROP TEMPERATURES A FEW 
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR TUESDAY ALONG WITH BREEZY EAST WINDS.
LIGHTER WINDS WILL PREVAIL WED-THU WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM.  PRECIP
CHANCES WILL RAMP UP FRI NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND INCLUDING
LOWLAND AREAS.


&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.

VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS FOR THIS
ZONE ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING POINT:
RUIDOSO...6800 FT MSL

NMZ113-041230-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
219 PM MST SUN MAR 3 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST MONDAY AT 
ELEVATIONS BELOW 7500 FEET...

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....35-39. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....38-42. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....32-37 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....32-37 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH 
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 49 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) UNTIL 1100...THEN 
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....53-58. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....61-66. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....18-23 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....14-19 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......9 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. 20-FT WINDS WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 41 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 45 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (319300 KNOT-FT). 

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....20-24. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....24-29. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....72-77 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. 20-FT WINDS NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 
                    TO AROUND 38 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 15 
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 32 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....46-51. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....53-58. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....19-24 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....16-20 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 12 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (39000 KNOT-FT). 

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 27 TO 32. HIGHS 56 TO 61. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 16 TO 21%. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 32 TO 37. HIGHS 62 TO 67. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 17 TO 22%. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 34 TO 39. HIGHS 61 TO 66. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 17 TO 22%.