EPZ FWZ113: CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ

Please check the valid time of products before use.

Current Nearby ASOS Observations: 
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
RUIDOSO        CLEAR     57  21  24 W5        30.10S
Links to Nearby RAWS Observations:
Cosmic Raws(9100 ft MSL)
Smokey Bear Raws(6900 ft MSL)
Mayhill Raws(6558 ft MSL)
Mescal Raws(6227 ft MSL)

Fire Weather Zone Forecast issued at 213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013

DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION...RESULTING
IN MORE DRY TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST AFTERNOON WINDS.  
THE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN SOME TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK...AHEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BY THURSDAY.  BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES INTO COLORADO.
LATER FRIDAY EVENING...THIS FEATURE WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT
DOWN FROM THE NORTH.  HIGHS THIS WEEKEND WILL DROP 10-15 DEGREES
AS A RESULT. 


UNDER CLEAR SKIES...RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY
AIR...WILL SUPPORT GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY MOST AREAS.
RECOVERY WILL BE OPTIMIZED IN HIGH ELEVATION MEADOW AND LAKE VALLEY
LOCATIONS.  HAINES INDICES WILL CLIMB TO 4 MOST AREAS EACH DAY.

&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.

VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS FOR THIS
ZONE ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING POINT:
RUIDOSO...6800 FT MSL

NMZ113-031215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....41-46. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....44-49. 
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....39-44 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....37-42 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PCT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 28 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........4. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....66-71. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....75-80. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....19-23 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....15-19 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 
                    MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (150300 KNOT-FT). 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....44-49. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....47-52. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....41-46 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....40-45 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
                    AROUND 21 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 32 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....62-66. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....66-71. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....21-23 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....18-22 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 
                    MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 32 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (121000 KNOT-FT). 

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36 TO 41. HIGHS 57 TO 62.
20-FT WINDS NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 21 TO 26%. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 29 TO 34. HIGHS 60 TO 65. 20-FT WINDS
 WEST AROUND 5 MPH. MINIMUM RH 17 TO 22%. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 34 TO 39. HIGHS 67 TO 72. 20-FT WINDS
 WEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 14 TO 19%.