EPZ FWZ111: SOUTHWEST DESERT AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-LNZ

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Current Nearby ASOS Observations: 
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
DEMING         CLEAR     53  33  46 W5        29.99S
Links to Nearby RAWS Observations:
Hatchita Valley Raws(4291 ft MSL)

Fire Weather Zone Forecast issued at 213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013

DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION...RESULTING
IN MORE DRY TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST AFTERNOON WINDS.  
THE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN SOME TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK...AHEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BY THURSDAY.  BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES INTO COLORADO.
LATER FRIDAY EVENING...THIS FEATURE WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT
DOWN FROM THE NORTH.  HIGHS THIS WEEKEND WILL DROP 10-15 DEGREES
AS A RESULT. 


UNDER CLEAR SKIES...RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY
AIR...WILL SUPPORT GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY MOST AREAS.
RECOVERY WILL BE OPTIMIZED IN HIGH ELEVATION MEADOW AND LAKE VALLEY
LOCATIONS.  HAINES INDICES WILL CLIMB TO 4 MOST AREAS EACH DAY.

&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.

VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS FOR THIS
ZONE ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING POINT:
DEMING...4335 FT MSL

NMZ111-031215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
 SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88. 
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........4. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (149600 KNOT-FT). 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-55. 
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86. 
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (154300 KNOT-FT). 

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...COOLER...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. HIGHS
67 TO 72. 20-FT WINDS NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 17 TO 22%. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS 68 TO 73. 20-FT WINDS
 EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 14 TO 19%. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 76 TO 81. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. MINIMUM RH 12 TO 17%.