EPZ FWZ110: SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ

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Links to Nearby RAWS Observations:
Bear Wallow Raws(9953 ft MSL)
Slaughter Raws(8681 ft MSL)
Beaverhead Raws(6700 ft MSL)
Gila Center Raws(5600 ft MSL)

Fire Weather Zone Forecast issued at 213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013

DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION...RESULTING
IN MORE DRY TEMPERATURES WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST AFTERNOON WINDS.  
THE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN SOME TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK...AHEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INTO THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BY THURSDAY.  BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES INTO COLORADO.
LATER FRIDAY EVENING...THIS FEATURE WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT
DOWN FROM THE NORTH.  HIGHS THIS WEEKEND WILL DROP 10-15 DEGREES
AS A RESULT. 


UNDER CLEAR SKIES...RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY
AIR...WILL SUPPORT GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY MOST AREAS.
RECOVERY WILL BE OPTIMIZED IN HIGH ELEVATION MEADOW AND LAKE VALLEY
LOCATIONS.  HAINES INDICES WILL CLIMB TO 4 MOST AREAS EACH DAY.

&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.

VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS FOR THIS
ZONE ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING POINT:
RESERVE...5900 FT MSL

NMZ110-031215-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
213 PM MDT WED OCT 2 2013


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....38-43. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....40-45. 
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....47-52 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....51-56 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 17 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....66-71. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....74-79. 
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....21-26 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....18-22 PCT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PCT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 
                    MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........3. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (155600 KNOT-FT). 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PCT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....40-44. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....43-48. 
MAX HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....49-54 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....50-55 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PCT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE..... 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....64-69. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....72-77. 
MIN HUMIDITY........ 
   ABOVE 7500 FT....20-24 PCT. 
   BELOW 7500 FT....17-21 PCT. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 29 MPH. 
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT. 
LAL.................1. 
HAINES INDEX........2. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE 
                    AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 KNOTS. 
VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (103700 KNOT-FT). 

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...COOLER...CLEAR. LOWS 32 TO 37. HIGHS 52 TO 57.
20-FT WINDS NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%. 
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 28 TO 33. HIGHS 54 TO 59. 20-FT WINDS
 EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 23 TO 28%. 
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 36 TO 41. HIGHS 62 TO 67. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. MINIMUM RH 15 TO 20%.