| Latest
Drought Information |
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Synopsis | Summary
of Impacts | Climate Summary | Temperature
and Precipitation Outlook
Hydrologic Summary and Outlook | Related
Web Sites |
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...Moderate to Severe
Drought in the Four Corners Region...
...Abnormally Dry Conditions
Persist in Parts of the East and
in the Far West...
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| Synopsis |
Near the end of the month, October precipitation ranged
from well below normal over the western third of New Mexico to well above
normal in some eastern border counties. Rain and snow in the Sangre De
Cristo mountains of northern New Mexico was also wel above normal for
the month of October.
September precipitation was better than normal across
much of New Mexico...with the exception of the Four Corners region
and parts of the east
central and southeast plains where the dryness of August
persisted.
As of the end of October, drought concerns focused
on the Four Corners region.
The current U.S. Drought Monitor map depiction of drought
for New Mexico can be found at: the
Drought Monitor web site.
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| Summary
of Impacts |
The Cibola National Forest mountainair ranger district continues the closure
of New Canyon and Tajique campgrounds...near the villages of Torreon
and Tajique...due to damages sustained from the 2008 Big Spring
fire.
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CPC Most Recent Day Soil Moisture
Anomaly Map |
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| Climate
Summary |
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From July through September the Farmington Agricultural
Center received one half inch of precipitation instead of the
normal 3.16 inches, while Navajo Dam recorded 1.45 inches...far
less than their July through September normal of 4.15 inches.
Precipitation during water year 2009...October 2008 through September
2009...was below normal for a statewide average of 87 Percent.
The northern mountains climate division averaged 99 percent of
normal for the water year while southern desert climate division
precipitation averaged only 69 percent of normal.
Notable drier than normal sites for water year 2009 included...
New Mexico
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12 Month Total
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% of Normal Deficit
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Farmington Ag Center
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5.17
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60
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Lordsburg 4SE
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5.61
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54
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NMSU Las Cruces
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6.19
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66
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Roswell
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8.54
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66
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Navajo Dam
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9.68
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72
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Notable wetter than normal sites for water year 2009 included...
New Mexico
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12 Month Total
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% of Normal Surplus
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Abiquiu Dam
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12.81
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130
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Chama
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24.30
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116
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Eagle Nest
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16.93
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114
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Pecos National Monument |
19.96 |
125 |
Espanola |
12.18 |
125 |
Calendar year 2009 statewide precipitation increased slightly
from 80 percent of normal at the end of August to 84 percent of normal
at the end of September.
2009 precipitation through September ranges from 96 percent of normal
in the southwestern mountains climate division to 74 percent of
normal in the southern desert climate division.
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The near-uniformly dry conditions in the spring
of 2008 left several regions with significant precipitation deficits
through
the
first
six months
of last year. Drought conditions extended across much of the southeast
two-thirds of the state by early July of 2008. Despite the near normal
to abundant summer precipitation in most areas of the state, parts
of
Union County and far northeast Colfax County still reported moderate
precipitation deficits as of the end of August. Persistent dry conditions
in the northern portions of the state through November resulted in
the continuation of a abnormally dry classification across
north central and northeast New Mexico. By late November abnormally
dry conditions spread to the northwest corner of the state. A snowy
December over the northwest and north central areas eased the dry conditions,
while the dry weather persisted in the northwest. The abnormally dry
conditions spread south over most of the eastern plains by January
and over southern portions of the state in February. The abnormally
dry conditions continued over the east and south in February and March,
and by May and June much of the area had deteriorated to moderate drought
with severe drought in the southeast. Despite the general lack of rainfall
in August 2009...June through August 2009 precipitation was above normal
in the eastern border counties and in
select locations in the northwest and southwest mountain regions of
New Mexico. September precipitation was better than normal across much
of New Mexico...with the exception of the four corners region and parts
of The east
central and southeast plains where the dryness of august
persisted.
Animation of the drought status in New Mexico from
July 2008 through September 2009
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Calendar year 2009 statewide precipitation increased slightly from 80
percent of normal at the end of August to 84 percent of normal at the
end of September.
2009 precipitation through September ranges from 96 percent of normal
in the southwestern mountains climate division to 74 percent of normal
in the southern desert climate division.
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Precipitation Estimates
and departures from normal can be generated for a variety of time periods
including the current day, archived days, the previous month and the
calendar year to date. |
2009 Precipitation through August |
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| Precipitation
and Temperature Outlooks |
Generally dry conditions are expected through October 19th. A storm will
draw moisture north into New Mexico for the 20th and 21st, with possible
widespread showers and high mountain snow. Decaying hurricane Rick,
moving northeast from southern Baja California, could
also come into play.
The precipitation outlook for November favors neither
wet nor dry at
this time, but the developing El Nino in the Equatorial Pacific
should help bring moisture northward to interact with
winter storms over the next several months.
For the latest weather forecast for the northern
two thirds of New Mexico, please see the NWS
WFO Albuquerque Forecast Map.
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| One- Month CPC Outlooks |
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3-Month CPC Outlooks
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| Hydrologic
Summary and Outlook |
Reservoir storage is above normal at Abiquiu Lake, El Vado Lake, and
Costilla Lake, while water levels were near normal at Heron
Lake, Eagle Nest Lake and Navajo Lake. Well below normal storage
persists at Conchas Lake, Elephant Butte Lake, Bluewater Lake, Santa
Rosa
Lake,
Sumner
Lake and Caballo Lake.
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New Mexico Water Watch from USGS |
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| Related
Web Sites |
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Drought
Indices |
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Drought
Indices Explained |
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Crop
Moisture Index |
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Palmer
Drought Severity Index |
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Percent
of Normal Precipitation |
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SPI
(Standardized Precipitation Index) | Alternate |
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External
Links and Sites |
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New
Mexico State Engineer Drought Task Force |
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Water
Supply Forecast |
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Additional
Information |
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NM
Drought Map Archive - April '06 - February '08 |
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New
Mexico Precipitation Summaries |
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Climatology
and Paleoclimatology |
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Western
Region Climate Center |
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| US Seasonal Drought Outlook from the
Climate Prediction Center |
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This
product will be updated in late October/early November, or sooner if
necessary in response to significant changes in weather, water supply
or drought
conditions.
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| Acknowledgements |
The
U.S. Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the NOAA National
Weather Service and National Climatic Data Center, the USDA, State and
Regional Climate Centers and the National Drought Mitigation Center.
Information for this statement has been gather from the NWS and FAA observations
sites, state cooperative extension services, the U.S. Geological Survey
and other government agencies.
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| If you have any
questions or comments about this drought information statement, please
contact: |
National Weather Service
2341 Clark Carr Loop SE
Albuquerque NM 87106
Phone...505-244-9147
sr-abq.webmaster@noaa.gov
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