...No Short Term Drought Across New Mexico...
The current and past U.S. Drought Monitor map depictions of drought can be found at:
January 2016. After an epic end to December 2015 over eastern New Mexico, precipitation through January 2016 was below normal over much of the east, central and west central areas. Above normal areas included the northwest, the Sangre de Cristo mountains and portions of the northeast highlands, the southwest deserts and south central mountains. A small but potent upper level disturbance early on the 25th delivered incredible snow amounts to a small area along the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo mountains. Totals ranged from 18 to 30 inches in several spots.
January 2016. The first days days of the month have been active, with good snowfall over the west and north. The southeast, so far, has missed out on the precipitation bandwagon.
For previous months of 2016 and 2015 as well as a recap of the 2015 year, click here.
For previous months and years (2014 back to 2002) click here. Make sure you click the circle by "Precipitation Summary".
October 2015 - December 2015. The 2016 Water Year is off to a great start with statewide precipitation averaging 178 percent of normal through the first three months of the water year. This is the 9th wettest first three months on record!
The official NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlook for New Mexico precipitation during February 2016 strongly favors above normal precipitation statewide, especially in the central and south. The outlook from February through April 2016 strongly favors above normal precipitation across all of New Mexico.
The seasonal outlook below indicates no drought is expected to develop through the rest of the winter and into spring.
US Seasonal Drought Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center
Reservoir storage is below capacity at all lakes across the state. Average statewide reservoir storage was only 29 percent of capacity as of February 1, 2016. Despite above normal precipitation in 2015 and a sharp reduction in short term drought conditions, it is readily apparent that long term, hydrological drought is very much still with us.
You can use the link below to see the current percent of storage capacity at all the major New Mexico dams (click on "Submit Query"):
All public lands, National Parks and Monuments, BLM lands, State Parks and tribal lands are open across New Mexico. There are some stage one fire restrictions, though. Click on the link below, then scroll down to New Mexico.
Below is a map of real-time streamflow compared to historical streamflow for the current day of the year. Click on the image to take you to the USGS site.
New Mexico Water Watch from the USGS
(click map to enlarge image)
1. CPC (Climate Prediction Center) forecasters (top graphic) and models (lower graphic) continue to indicate El Nino conditions will continue through the winter and spring then trend toward neutral conditions during the 2016 summer. An El Nino advisory remains in effect.
2. Below is an animation of the weekly U.S. Drought monitor for the past 6 weeks across the United States. There has been no short term drought across New Mexico since early December of 2015.
External Links and Sites
This product will be updated in early February, or sooner if necessary in response to significant changes in weather, water supply or drought conditions.
The U.S. Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the NOAA National Weather Service and National Climatic Data Center, the USDA, State and Regional Climate Centers and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this statement has been gathered from the NWS and FAA observation sites, state cooperative extension services, the U.S. Geological Survey and other government agencies.
If you have any questions or comments about this drought information statement, please contact:
National Weather Service
or by e-mail to: