...Extreme to Exceptional Drought Across Most of New Mexico...
...Moderate to Severe Drought All Remaining Areas...
January through April 2013 statewide precipitation was 47% of normal. The Northwest Plateau has received 65% of normal precipitation while the the Central Valley was only 30% and the Southern Desert only 31% of normal.
June 2013. Through June 18th much welcomed above to well above normal precipitation has fallen over much of central and eastern New Mexico, thanks to several severe weather outbreaks. The west has experienced mostly below normal or no precipitation so far.
Percent of Normal Precip: June 1-18, 2013
May 2013. Precipitation managed near to above normal over portions of the Rio Grande Valley and Eastern Plains while most other areas were below normal.
Percent of Normal Precip: May 2013
April 2013. April brought near to above normal precipitation to Northwest New Mexico - thanks to the storm on the 8th into the 10th. The remaining two thirds of the state was mostly below to well below normal.
Percent of Normal Precip: April 2013
October 2012 - April 2013. Statewide average precipitation through the first seven months of the Water Year is only 45% of normal. The driest areas have been the central valley with 27% of normal and the Southern Deserts with 25% of normal precipitation. The 'wettest' area was the Northwest Plateau at 60%.
The official NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlook for New Mexico precipitation for June 2013 predicts about equal chances of below normal, normal or above normal precipitation in the west while the central and east are trending toward below normal precipitation. The same is true for the summer months of June through August.
US Seasonal Drought Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center
(click map to enlarge)
The current U.S. Drought Monitor map depiction of drought for New Mexico can be found at:
Reservoir storage is well below normal at all lakes across the state. Water levels were particularily low at Abiquiu, Cochiti, Caballo, Brantley, Elephant Butte, Conchas, Santa Rosa and Sumner Lakes. The Navajo reservoir has the highest percent of storage at 58 percent. You can use the link below to see the current percent of storage capacity at all the major New Mexico dams:
Areas affected by the Whitewater-Baldy Fire Complex and Little Bear Fire this year, and the Las Conchas fire in 2011 remain closed. 225 National, State and Tribal Parks and Monuments have declared stage I fire restrictions and 98 have declared stage II restrictions. Please see the following link for a listing of the current closures and fire restrictions. Click on the small map of New Mexico, then Fire Alert link at the top right of the page.
Below is a map of real-time streamflow compared to historical streamflow for the current day of the year. Click on the image to take you to the USGS site.
New Mexico Water Watch from the USGS
(click map to enlarge image)
1. The past 12 months (June 2012 - May 2013) average statewide precipitation ranked as the driest year on record. The last 24 months (June 2011 - May 2013) was the 2nd driest consecutive 24 months on record. Through the first eight months of the current (2013) water year, precipitation ranks as the 8th driest on record (not shown).
2. The graph below shows the model predictions on expected ENSO conditions over the next year, in three month blocks (periods of time). We are still in ENSO-neutral conditions, and most models are favoring the continuation of ENSO-neutral conditions through the late spring, summer and even fall. Here is the link to the latest ENSO Dignostic discussion from the Climate Prediction Center:
Figure provided by the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society
External Links and Sites
This product will be updated in late June, or sooner if necessary in response to significant changes in weather, water supply or drought conditions.
The U.S. Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the NOAA National Weather Service and National Climatic Data Center, the USDA, State and Regional Climate Centers and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this statement has been gathered from the NWS and FAA observation sites, state cooperative extension services, the U.S. Geological Survey and other government agencies.
Thanks to Deirdre Kann, our Science and Operations Officer, for providing many of the links and automatically updating graphics, and the general design of this page!
If you have any questions or comments about this drought information statement, please contact:
National Weather Service
or by e-mail to: